Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.