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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
0 - 0
Crewe


Morris (46'), Ehmer (82')
FT

Cooney (70'), Austerfield (74'), Turns (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Despite their relatively lofty positions in League Two's table, neither team have been in particularly good form of late, winning just two matches from their last 10 games combined. As such, we can envisage both managers being content with avoiding defeat on Friday, as they look to remain in contention to claim one of the four playoff spots on offer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.45% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.053999999999998 0.05)72.38% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.19% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 47.63%
    Crewe Alexandra 27.05%
    Draw 25.3%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crewe Alexandra
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
O'Riordan (30'), White (85')
Powell (35')
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Gillingham
2-1
Crewe
Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
Ainley (62')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
1-1
Gillingham
Agyei (19')
Kashket (12')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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