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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
42.39% ( -0.41) | 26.02% ( 0.08) | 31.59% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.85% ( -0.24) | 51.15% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27% ( -0.21) | 72.99% ( 0.21) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( -0.31) | 23.94% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.84% ( -0.44) | 58.16% ( 0.44) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.81% ( 0.1) | 30.18% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.66% ( 0.12) | 66.34% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
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