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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Newport County

Crewe
vs.
Newport

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

We say: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Newport County

Crewe may be in worse form than their opponents, but the visitors' shocking away record makes it extremely unlikely that they will take anything from Saturday's game. Additionally, the pressure of keeping up with their promotion rivals should be a motivating factor for the Railwaymen to put in a strong performance this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw has a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (6.18%).

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
60.26% (-0.666 -0.67) 23.1% (0.363 0.36) 16.63% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.439 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)52.92% (0.915 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.79 -0.79)74.52% (0.786 0.79)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (-0.559 -0.56)17.21% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (-0.99 -0.99)47.5% (0.986 0.99)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.161 -0.16)45.03% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.128 -0.13)80.96% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 60.25%
    Newport County 16.63%
    Draw 23.1%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 60.25%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.276 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.63%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe and Newport?

Crewe Alexandra
Draw
Newport County
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Crewe
Evans (33'), Baker (74')
Evans (22'), Glennon (45+6'), Baker (90+3')
Thibaut (71')
Knight-Lebel (3'), Lankester (38'), Breckin (90+1')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
1-1
Crewe
Evans (64')
Long (48')
Williams (72')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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