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League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Gillingham
2 - 1
Crewe

Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
MacDonald (11'), Ehmer (90+5')
Harris (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ainley (62')
Griffiths (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra's miserable away-day fortunes are showing no signs of coming to an end anytime soon, and facing a Gillingham side with a taste for wins at home is hardly a recipe for success. Harris has implored his players to give him a response to Saturday's defeat, and we expect the Gills to do just that, even if Crewe's backline will be reinforced by the returning McDonald. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.14% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.27%
    Crewe Alexandra 20.57%
    Draw 26.14%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.27%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
72.9%
Draw
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Gillingham
4-1
Crewe
Graham (11' pen.), Lee (38', 62'), Dempsey (45')
Oliver (46'), Cundy (67'), Akinde (90+3')
Porter (80')
Johnson (90+4')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Crewe
0-1
Gillingham

Offord (12'), Ng (76'), Mandron (83')
Akinde (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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