Crewe Alexandra's miserable away-day fortunes are showing no signs of coming to an end anytime soon, and facing a Gillingham side with a taste for wins at home is hardly a recipe for success.
Harris has implored his players to give him a response to Saturday's defeat, and we expect the Gills to do just that, even if Crewe's backline will be reinforced by the returning McDonald.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
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