Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
26.81% ( -0.14) | 27.02% ( -0.06) | 46.17% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
