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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Grimsby Town |
40.33% ( -0.04) | 26.41% ( -0.01) | 33.25% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% ( 0.04) | 52.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% ( 0.03) | 74% ( -0.03) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( -0.01) | 25.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.64% ( -0.01) | 60.36% ( 0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% ( 0.05) | 29.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% ( 0.06) | 65.71% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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