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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.88% ( 0.52) | 26.45% ( 0.2) | 34.66% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.77% ( -0.93) | 52.23% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -0.81) | 73.93% ( 0.81) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% ( -0.15) | 26.26% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.63% ( -0.2) | 61.37% ( 0.2) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -0.89) | 28.72% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( -1.13) | 64.55% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
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