League Two | Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Grimsby Town1 - 2Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Carlisle United
With Grimsby winless in the league so far at home and Carlisle winless away from home, a draw seems the most probable outcome of this game. As both defensive units are strong, a low-scoring game is expected too. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
39.7% ( -4.25) | 27.32% ( 0.31) | 32.98% ( 3.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
