EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 1Fleetwood
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Doncaster Rovers | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Carlisle United | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Tranmere Rovers | 9 | 0 | 10 |
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Peterborough United | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury Town | 9 | -1 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
38.59% ( 1.27) | 25.19% ( 0.08) | 36.22% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
