MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:55:37| >> :600:1266516:1266516:
Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Idehen (90')
Harris (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garner (46')
Nsiala (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.59% (1.272 1.27) 25.19% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 36.22% (-1.35 -1.35)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)46.55% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.384 -0.38)68.83% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.48999999999999 0.49)23.82% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (0.698 0.7)58% (-0.699 -0.7)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.92699999999999 -0.93)25.11% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-1.297 -1.3)59.81% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.59%
    Fleetwood Town 36.22%
    Draw 25.18%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.267 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.22%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Fleetwood

Carlisle United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Carlisle
Hiwula (69')
Maguire (6'), O'Neill (75'), Bolger (90')
Rodgers (105')
Miller (22'), Miller (101')
Devitt (71'), Liddle (85'), Grainger (95'), Miller (104'), Hope (116')
Nov 13, 2013 7.45pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Carlisle
Ball (6'), Sarcevic (54')

Berrett (15')
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