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Walsall
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Salford City

Rochdale
1 - 0
Salford City

Henderson (80')
Odoh (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Salford City

Rochdale will be looking to get one over Salford City following their penalty shootout defeat in October's EFL Trophy clash. However, the Dale have suffered a drop-off in recent weeks, losing four of their last five outings. We predict that Salford will maintain their fine away form and come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawSalford City
36.77% (2.28 2.28) 27.12% (0.236 0.24) 36.11% (-2.517 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.838 -0.84)54.86% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (-0.698 -0.7)76.16% (0.697 0.7)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.99499999999999 0.99)28.72% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.224 1.22)64.55% (-1.225 -1.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-1.881 -1.88)29.12% (1.88 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-2.383 -2.38)65.05% (2.381 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 36.76%
    Salford City 36.1%
    Draw 27.12%
RochdaleDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.607 0.61)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.548 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.204 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.365 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Salford City

Rochdale
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Salford City
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Rochdale
2-2
Salford City
Salford City win 4-2 on penalties
Henderson (42'), Kelly (90+4')
Simoes (69'), Hendry (71')
Simoes (84')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Rochdale
1-2
Salford City
Beesley (8')
Rathbone (80'), (90+6')
Andrade (53'), Dieseruvwe (82' pen.)
(57'), Burgess (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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