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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Newport County

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Newport


Pruti (27'), Jennings (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Demetriou (90+1')
Baker (45+1'), Bennett (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Newport
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 1-1 Newport County

With Newport collecting more points on the road than they have at home this season, they represent dangerous opponents for Hartlepool on Tuesday. However, the hosts will be determined to claim another positive result after moving outside of the relegation zone at the weekend, with Crawley's ominous games in hand on them ramping up the pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
29.62% (-0.205 -0.2) 27.24% (0.481 0.48) 43.14% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-1.513 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-1.889 -1.89)56.63% (1.892 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-1.542 -1.54)77.6% (1.545 1.55)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-1.15 -1.15)34.42% (1.154 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-1.247 -1.25)71.13% (1.25 1.25)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.991 -0.99)26.01% (0.995 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-1.358 -1.36)61.03% (1.361 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 29.62%
    Newport County 43.14%
    Draw 27.23%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.14%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Newport

Hartlepool United
46.2%
Draw
11.5%
Newport County
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Hartlepool
Bogle (16' og.), Street (72')
Sterry (35'), Molyneux (45+3'), Byrne (73')
Liddle (28'), Sterry (87')
Nov 12, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Newport
Featherstone (2'), Amond (38')
Nsiala (3')
Rigg (4'), Parkin (27')
Randall (47'), Jones (62')
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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