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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Newport County

Hartlepool
0 - 1
Newport


Pruti (27'), Jennings (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Demetriou (90+1')
Baker (45+1'), Bennett (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Newport
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 1-1 Newport County

With Newport collecting more points on the road than they have at home this season, they represent dangerous opponents for Hartlepool on Tuesday. However, the hosts will be determined to claim another positive result after moving outside of the relegation zone at the weekend, with Crawley's ominous games in hand on them ramping up the pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
29.62% (-0.205 -0.2) 27.24% (0.481 0.48) 43.14% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-1.513 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-1.889 -1.89)56.63% (1.892 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-1.542 -1.54)77.6% (1.545 1.55)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-1.15 -1.15)34.42% (1.154 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-1.247 -1.25)71.13% (1.25 1.25)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.991 -0.99)26.01% (0.995 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-1.358 -1.36)61.03% (1.361 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 29.62%
    Newport County 43.14%
    Draw 27.23%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.14%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Newport

Hartlepool United
46.2%
Draw
11.5%
Newport County
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Hartlepool
Bogle (16' og.), Street (72')
Sterry (35'), Molyneux (45+3'), Byrne (73')
Liddle (28'), Sterry (87')
Nov 12, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Newport
Featherstone (2'), Amond (38')
Nsiala (3')
Rigg (4'), Parkin (27')
Randall (47'), Jones (62')
Mar 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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