League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Feeney (6'), Dennis (26', 66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Umerah (28')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 3-0 Hartlepool United

Hartlepool have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, but Carlisle should still have no problems sweeping them aside, just like they did in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Dennis has been in fine form in front of goals for the Blues, and we expect him to get on the scoresheet again in a resounding victory for his side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Hartlepool United
56.56% ( 0.08)	24.38% ( 0)	19.06% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.17% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64% (

-0.12)

54.36% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26% (

-0.1)

75.74% (

0.1)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-0.01)

19.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27% (

-0.02)

50.73% (

0.02)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.08% (

-0.17)

42.92% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.78% (

-0.14)

79.22% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 56.55%

Hartlepool United 19.06%

Draw 24.38%

Carlisle United	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 56.55%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.94% 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.06%