League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle3 - 1Hartlepool
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Carlisle United 3-0 Hartlepool United
Hartlepool have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, but Carlisle should still have no problems sweeping them aside, just like they did in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Dennis has been in fine form in front of goals for the Blues, and we expect him to get on the scoresheet again in a resounding victory for his side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
56.56% ( 0.08) | 24.38% ( 0) | 19.06% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
