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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
52.19% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() | 22.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.77% (![]() | 54.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.37% (![]() | 75.63% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% (![]() | 20.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% (![]() | 53.45% (![]() |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% (![]() | 39.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.05% (![]() | 75.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 12.81% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.06% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 11.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | Notts County | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 61 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 60 |
6 | Port Vale | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
11 | Salford City | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Chesterfield | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 48 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 39 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |