MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:38:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
MK Dons

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

McKiernan (49')
Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dean (31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 MK Dons

There is little separating the teams ahead of Saturday's clash, but MK Dons just about have the edge given their record in this fixture. We are anticipating a keenly-contested affair with the visitors narrowly coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
29.93% (-0.21 -0.21) 24.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 45.11% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (0.004999999999999 0)69.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.14 -0.14)29.39% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.174 -0.17)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.107 0.11)21.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (0.166 0.17)53.8% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.93%
    MK Dons 45.11%
    Draw 24.95%
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Morecambe vs MK Dons

Morecambe
23.1%
Draw
19.2%
MK Dons
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
MK Dons
1-0
Morecambe
Leko (57')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!