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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Morecambe
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Angol (20')
Lewis (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hutchinson (14'), Tilley (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Bromley
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 0-2 AFC Wimbledon

With Morecambe's struggles at both ends and their woes on home turf, Wimbledon, who have had a better campaign, should bounce back to winning ways here as they look to strengthen their bid for automatic promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon
26.94% (1.687 1.69) 27% (0.165 0.16) 46.06% (-1.855 -1.86)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.846 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (0.431 0.43)57.04% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (0.346 0.35)77.93% (-0.348 -0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (1.692 1.69)36.78% (-1.692 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (1.653 1.65)73.57% (-1.655 -1.66)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (-0.693 -0.69)24.73% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)59.28% (0.979 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 26.94%
    AFC Wimbledon 46.06%
    Draw 27%
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.264 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.342 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.205 0.21)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 12.7% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.88% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.06%

How you voted: Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon

Morecambe
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
AFC Wimbledon
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
3-0
Morecambe
Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')

Hendrie (77')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Morecambe
Bugiel (50')
Tilley (62')
Stokes (74')
Khumbeni (11'), J (42'), Tutonda (66'), Davenport (86'), Melbourne (90+2')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley371313114845352
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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