League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Notts County5 - 0Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Notts County 2-1 Morecambe
Notts County picked up a late Christmas present against Doncaster and will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence. Williams's side take on a Morecambe side who have struggled to steady their ship in recent weeks and we fancy them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Morecambe |
61.85% ( -0.43) | 18.51% ( 0.16) | 19.63% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 67.36% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
