League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Newport

Chislett (58')
Hudlin (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zanzala (70' pen.)
Zanzala (9'), Demetriou (66'), Lewis (68'), Moriah-Welsh (74')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Newport County

It is never really clear which Newport County side are going to turn up, given their inconsistent form in League Two this season, so it would not be a surprise if they managed to emerge victorious on Boxing Day. However, the most likely result is a comprehensive win for AFC Wimbledon, given their recent uptick in form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
39.04% ( 0.2)	27.5% ( -0.07)	33.47% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.05% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.43% (

0.27)

56.58% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.45% (

0.21)

77.56% (

-0.21)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

0.24)

28.22% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

0.31)

63.92% (

-0.3)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

0.05)

31.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

0.06)

68.08% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 39.03%

Newport County 33.46%

Draw 27.5%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.46%