League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 0
Northampton

Bogle (43', 90+1' pen.), McNeill (90+6')
Lewis (55'), Evans (57'), Baker (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowie (55'), Burge (90'), Hylton (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Northampton Town
29.47% ( -0.01)	28.73% ( -0.03)	41.79% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 44.31% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.1% (

0.1)

61.89% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.33% (

0.08)

81.66% (

-0.08)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61% (

0.05)

37.38% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83% (

0.05)

74.16% (

-0.05)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.08)

29.23% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.09)

65.18% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Newport County 29.47%

Northampton Town 41.78%

Draw 28.72%

Newport County	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.47%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.78%