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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Northampton Town |
19.74% ( -0.04) | 24.11% ( 0.05) | 56.15% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.99% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.51% ( -0.24) | 52.49% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.84% ( -0.2) | 74.16% ( 0.2) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.92% ( -0.18) | 41.08% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( -0.16) | 77.63% ( 0.16) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( -0.1) | 18.55% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.2% ( -0.16) | 49.8% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.74% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 56.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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