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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
32.86% ( 0.04) | 28.17% ( 0.11) | 38.98% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.87% ( -0.36) | 59.14% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.43% ( -0.28) | 79.58% ( 0.29) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% ( -0.16) | 33.4% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% ( -0.18) | 70.03% ( 0.19) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.26) | 29.49% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( -0.32) | 65.51% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 38.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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