Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
