Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
