League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 2
Tranmere

Evans (20')
Evans (45+1'), Sanca (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Apter (25', 36')
O'Connor (67'), Hawkes (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-3 Accrington
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Walsall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
36.31% ( 0.06)	24.72% ( 0.04)	38.97% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.73% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61% (

-0.17)

44.39% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.24% (

-0.17)

66.76% (

0.17)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

-0.05)

24.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

-0.07)

58.33% (

0.07)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

-0.12)

22.66% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

-0.18)

56.31% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Newport County 36.31%

Tranmere Rovers 38.97%

Draw 24.72%

Newport County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.31%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.97%