Tranmere have been brilliant at home for the majority of this season but they have fallen to two defeats at Prenton Park in their last six games, while Crawley have won three of their last four games on the road.
The visitors have been victorious in both of the previous two meetings between these sides, scoring at least two in each of these games, and we expect them to repeat this on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
0.12) 
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