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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
0 - 4
Crawley


Charsley (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conroy (1'), Darcy (26'), Maguire (69'), Campbell (90+1')
Addai (17'), Williams (45+4'), Roles (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Crawley Town

 There should be plenty of urgency from both sides given that each are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but we do not believe either team will have a decisive edge on Monday, seeing as only four points currently separate them in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
36.43% (0.058 0.06) 24.07% (0.004999999999999 0) 39.49% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)41.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)63.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.022000000000006 0.02)22.58% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.86% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.43%
    Crawley Town 39.49%
    Draw 24.07%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crawley
4-1
Newport
Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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