League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport0 - 4Crawley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Newport County 1-1 Crawley Town
There should be plenty of urgency from both sides given that each are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but we do not believe either team will have a decisive edge on Monday, seeing as only four points currently separate them in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
36.43% ( 0.06) | 24.07% ( 0) | 39.49% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
