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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crawley Town

Newport
0 - 4
Crawley


Charsley (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Conroy (1'), Darcy (26'), Maguire (69'), Campbell (90+1')
Addai (17'), Williams (45+4'), Roles (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Crawley Town

 There should be plenty of urgency from both sides given that each are still in the hunt for a playoff berth, but we do not believe either team will have a decisive edge on Monday, seeing as only four points currently separate them in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
36.43% (0.058 0.06) 24.07% (0.004999999999999 0) 39.49% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)41.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)63.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.022000000000006 0.02)22.58% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)21.05% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)53.86% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 36.43%
    Crawley Town 39.49%
    Draw 24.07%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Newport vs Crawley

Newport County
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crawley
4-1
Newport
Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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