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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Accrington Stanley

Newport
1 - 3
Accrington

Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Accrington Stanley

 The form of both Newport and Accrington is that of two sides with only pride at stake between now and the end of the season, so the shackles could either come off or the two sides will choose to expend little energy in Tuesday's bottom-half showdown. The latter scenario is not beyond the realm of possibility due to the limited recovery time, and we cannot pick a clear winner between the two outfits on this occasion, so an uneventful stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
46.77% (0.07 0.07) 23.73% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.18% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.068000000000005 0.07)49.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)62.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.77%
    Accrington Stanley 29.49%
    Draw 23.73%
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Accrington
3-0
Newport
Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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