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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Newport County

Colchester
2 - 1
Newport

Iandolo (75'), Mingi (90+2')
McGeehan (67'), Tovide (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zanzala (42')
Payne (67'), Waite (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-1 Newport County

 With two porous defences going head-to-head, we expect neither of the teams to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we also fancy the home side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
41.17% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 25.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.51% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.96% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)27.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)62.59% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 41.17%
    Newport County 33.51%
    Draw 25.31%
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Colchester vs Newport

Colchester United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
2-1
Colchester
Evans (43'), Bogle (63')
Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41')
Tovide (34')
Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Newport
2-0
Colchester
O'Hara (28' og.), Lewis (76')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
1-0
Colchester
Evans (7')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Newport
1-2
Colchester
Telford (40')
Dolan (38'), Lewis (45+2'), Bennett (72')
Akinde (68'), Chilvers (77')
Wiredu (45+2'), Huws (66'), Skuse (89'), George (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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