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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Sutton United |
56.96% ( -0.55) | 23.61% ( 0.11) | 19.43% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( 0.15) | 50.94% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( 0.13) | 72.81% ( -0.13) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( -0.15) | 17.68% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% ( -0.25) | 48.31% ( 0.24) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.47% ( 0.58) | 40.52% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.87% ( 0.52) | 77.13% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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