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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
42.34% ( -0.06) | 23.56% ( 0.01) | 34.09% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.75% ( -0.05) | 39.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.42% ( -0.05) | 61.58% ( 0.06) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( -0.05) | 18.9% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( -0.08) | 50.38% ( 0.08) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% ( 0) | 22.89% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% ( 0) | 56.64% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |