FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Notts County3 - 2Crawley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Notts County 2-0 Crawley Town
Notts County will be desperate to return to winning ways after a hard-to-take loss against rivals Wrexham last time out, and we can see the Magpies progressing into the second round quite comfortably. Crawley are enduring a rocky run of form of late and are likely to exit this year's FA Cup at the first hurdle on Saturday afternoon at Meadow Lane. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Crawley Town |
48.31% ( -0) | 21.77% | 29.91% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 67.23% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
