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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Newport County

Notts County
3 - 0
Newport

Crowley (24'), Langstaff (34', 54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Payne (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 3-3 Walsall
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Newport County

 Only Crewe have seen their matches produce more goals than Notts County and Newport County, so a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we are backing the home side to secure maximum points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawNewport County
44.76% (0.538 0.54) 22.76% (0.142 0.14) 32.47% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 64.92% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.96899999999999 -0.97)35.87% (0.973 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.04% (-1.075 -1.08)57.96% (1.08 1.08)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)16.56% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.65% (-0.319 -0.32)46.34% (0.325 0.32)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)22.19% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (-1.263 -1.26)55.6% (1.268 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 44.76%
    Newport County 32.47%
    Draw 22.77%
Notts CountyDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.106 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.61% (0.278 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.04 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.176 0.18)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Notts County vs Newport

Notts County
92.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-4
Newport
Hemmings (10')
Franks (9'), Matt (15', 33'), Amond (47')
Labadie (24'), Bennett (27'), Franks (55')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newport
3-2
Notts County
Franks (24'), Harris (26'), Matt (90')
Sheehan (29'), Bakinson (48')
Hemmings (12'), Dennis (87')
Husin (70')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Newport
0-0
Notts County
Pipe (35'), Labadie (88')
Stead (51')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Notts County
3-0
Newport
Grant (36', 55'), Ameobi (52')
Tootle (57'), Duffy (67')

Nouble (42'), Demetriou (62')
Butler (34')
May 6, 2017 5.30pm
Newport
2-1
Notts County
Demetriou (32' pen.), O'Brien (89')
Labadie (73')
Grant (61')
Smith (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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