Notts County3 - 0Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
for
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
We said: Notts County 2-1 Newport County
Only Crewe have seen their matches produce more goals than Notts County and Newport County, so a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we are backing the home side to secure maximum points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Newport County |
44.76% ( 0.54) | 22.76% ( 0.14) | 32.47% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 64.92% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.97) | 35.87% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( -1.08) | 57.96% ( 1.08) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( -0.17) | 16.56% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.65% ( -0.32) | 46.34% ( 0.32) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.83) | 22.19% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.39% ( -1.26) | 55.6% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.57% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.47% |
