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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
1 - 0
Notts County

Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Notts County
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
19.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.61% (-0.012 -0.01) 59.97% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)60.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.53% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.015999999999991 0.02)12.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.035999999999994 0.04)38.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 19.41%
    Notts County 59.98%
    Draw 20.61%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 59.98%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Crewe
2-0
Notts County
Raynes (44'), Bowery (66')
Lowery (31'), Ng (68'), Porter (88')

Yates (64'), Ameobi (70'), Dickinson (82')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Crewe
2-2
Notts County
Dagnall (38'), Jones (66')
Campbell (9'), O'Connor (51')
Hewitt (86'), Ameobi (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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