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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
1 - 0
Notts County

Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Notts County
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
19.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.61% (-0.012 -0.01) 59.97% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)60.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.53% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.015999999999991 0.02)12.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.035999999999994 0.04)38.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 19.41%
    Notts County 59.98%
    Draw 20.61%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 59.98%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Crewe
2-0
Notts County
Raynes (44'), Bowery (66')
Lowery (31'), Ng (68'), Porter (88')

Yates (64'), Ameobi (70'), Dickinson (82')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Crewe
2-2
Notts County
Dagnall (38'), Jones (66')
Campbell (9'), O'Connor (51')
Hewitt (86'), Ameobi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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