League Two

League Two | Gameweek 14

Oct 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 3
Walsall

Morris (4', 67'), Evans (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Draper (16', 53', 90+6')
Knowles (61'), Draper (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Newport
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Walsall

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 4-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 1-1 Walsall

With both teams having been inconsistent throughout this campaign, this is a difficult match to predict. Although Walsall head into this contest in better form, Newport have been solid on home territory, and that could lead to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Walsall
45.85% ( 0.2)	25.13% ( -0.04)	29.02% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47% (

0.1)

48.53% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34% (

0.09)

70.65% (

-0.08)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

0.13)

21.19% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93% (

0.2)

54.06% (

-0.2)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-0.07)

30.65% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

-0.08)

66.9% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Newport County 45.84%

Walsall 29.02%

Draw 25.12%

Newport County	Draw	Walsall
1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.84%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.02%