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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
2 - 0
Newport

Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Reading 5-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Newport County

 Swindon's home form has been near-perfect this season, with an opening draw against Crewe the only result stopping them from having a 100% record at the County Ground so far. Newport's start has been underwhelming but has shown bright sparks, especially in attack, but their defensive woes may cost them against one of the league's strongest forward lines. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
49.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 22.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.19% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.05% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)39.48% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)61.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99%16.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)45.35% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)27.31% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.76% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.96%
    Newport County 27.19%
    Draw 22.84%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.96%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.19%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Jephcott (51')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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