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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
44.08% ( -0.99) | 25.39% ( 0.16) | 30.53% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% ( -0.31) | 48.92% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% ( -0.28) | 71.01% ( 0.28) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( -0.58) | 22.16% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( -0.89) | 55.55% ( 0.89) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( 0.42) | 29.79% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( 0.51) | 65.86% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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