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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Notts County

Mansfield
1 - 0
Notts County

Keillor-Dunn (8')
Keillor-Dunn (50'), Clarke (59'), Flint (86'), Boateng (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNotts County
60.02% (0.44 0.44) 19.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 20.84% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 66.98% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.56% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)28.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.71% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)49.29% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (0.10000000000001 0.1)9.44% (-0.0961 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29% (0.229 0.23)31.71% (-0.224 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)26.04% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.393 -0.39)61.08% (0.398 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 60.02%
    Notts County 20.84%
    Draw 19.14%
Mansfield TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-3 @ 2.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.14%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 20.84%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Notts County
1-4
Mansfield
Crowley (3')
McGoldrick (66')
Reed (24'), Cargill (70'), Flint (74'), Akins (81')
Cargill (47')
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Mackail-Smith (19')
Stead (32'), Boldewijn (81')

Turner (6'), Mellis (59'), Pearce (85')
Dec 8, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
2-0
Notts County
Hamilton (37', 63')
Elsnik (62'), Mellis (73'), Atkinson (90')

Turley (32'), Hewitt (76'), Dennis (89')
Mar 17, 2018 1pm
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
-
Notts County
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (34')
Smith (74')
Angol (1'), Hamilton (73')
Mellis (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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