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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Notts County

Mansfield
1 - 0
Notts County

Keillor-Dunn (8')
Keillor-Dunn (50'), Clarke (59'), Flint (86'), Boateng (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Barrow
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNotts County
60.02% (0.44 0.44) 19.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 20.84% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 66.98% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.56% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)28.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.71% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)49.29% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (0.10000000000001 0.1)9.44% (-0.0961 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29% (0.229 0.23)31.71% (-0.224 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)26.04% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.393 -0.39)61.08% (0.398 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 60.02%
    Notts County 20.84%
    Draw 19.14%
Mansfield TownDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-3 @ 2.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.14%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 20.84%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Notts County
1-4
Mansfield
Crowley (3')
McGoldrick (66')
Reed (24'), Cargill (70'), Flint (74'), Akins (81')
Cargill (47')
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Mackail-Smith (19')
Stead (32'), Boldewijn (81')

Turner (6'), Mellis (59'), Pearce (85')
Dec 8, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 21
Mansfield
2-0
Notts County
Hamilton (37', 63')
Elsnik (62'), Mellis (73'), Atkinson (90')

Turley (32'), Hewitt (76'), Dennis (89')
Mar 17, 2018 1pm
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
-
Notts County
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (34')
Smith (74')
Angol (1'), Hamilton (73')
Mellis (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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