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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
60.02% ( 0.44) | 19.14% ( -0.09) | 20.84% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 66.98% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.56% ( -0.02) | 28.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.71% ( -0.02) | 49.29% ( 0.03) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.56% ( 0.1) | 9.44% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.29% ( 0.23) | 31.71% ( -0.22) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( -0.29) | 26.04% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( -0.39) | 61.08% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.14% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |