FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle2 - 1Tranmere
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
We said: Carlisle United 2-0 Tranmere Rovers
Carlisle cruised to victory at Prenton Park last week, and they should have no trouble doing the same again on home turf. We expect the Blues to repeat the scoreline from last week and book their place in the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
30.38% ( -0.05) | 26.71% ( 0.01) | 42.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
