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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Salford City |
20.49% ( 0.03) | 24.46% ( 0.06) | 55.05% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.05% ( -0.2) | 52.95% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.45% ( -0.17) | 74.55% ( 0.17) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.47% ( -0.08) | 40.53% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.86% ( -0.07) | 77.13% ( 0.07) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% ( -0.11) | 19.15% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.2% ( -0.18) | 50.8% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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