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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
53.26% ( 0) | 24.15% ( 0) | 22.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( -0.02) | 49.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.49% ( -0.02) | 71.5% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% ( -0.01) | 18.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.26% ( -0.01) | 49.73% ( 0) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.53% ( -0.02) | 36.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.74% ( -0.02) | 73.25% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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