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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (1', 54' pen.)
Dennis (66'), Mellish (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

With the two sides deadlocked in the table, it would make sense for Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Tranmere were frustrated by a team who came to Prenton Park with a defensive plan on Tuesday night, so Carlisle may choose to play for a point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.69% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 25.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.070999999999998 0.07)52.22% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (0.061 0.06)73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.9% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)55.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.13%
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.63%
    Draw 25.68%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
2-3
Tranmere
Kayode (3'), Anderton (27')
Woolery (21'), Vaughan (43', 88')
Lewis (12')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Tranmere
1-0
Carlisle
Taylor (51')
Monthe (54'), Lewis (69')

Hayden (67')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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