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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (1', 54' pen.)
Dennis (66'), Mellish (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

 With the two sides deadlocked in the table, it would make sense for Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Tranmere were frustrated by a team who came to Prenton Park with a defensive plan on Tuesday night, so Carlisle may choose to play for a point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.69% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 25.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.070999999999998 0.07)52.22% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (0.061 0.06)73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.9% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)55.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.13%
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.63%
    Draw 25.68%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
2-3
Tranmere
Kayode (3'), Anderton (27')
Woolery (21'), Vaughan (43', 88')
Lewis (12')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Tranmere
1-0
Carlisle
Taylor (51')
Monthe (54'), Lewis (69')

Hayden (67')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
3-0
Carlisle
Banks (45'), Norwood (64'), Monthe (82')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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