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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
45.96% ( -1.4) | 25.93% ( 0.4) | 28.1% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.67% ( -1.03) | 52.33% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% ( -0.89) | 74.02% ( 0.89) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -1.07) | 22.73% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -1.61) | 56.4% ( 1.6) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.68% ( 0.24) | 33.31% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.06% ( 0.26) | 69.93% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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