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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Forest Green Rovers

Newport
4 - 2
Forest Green

Evans (60', 63'), Payne (69'), Delaney (84')
Bogle (18'), Evans (18'), Payne (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Delaney (2' og.), Stevens (33')
McAllister (16'), Morton (38'), Jones (41'), McCann (45'), Moore-Taylor (75')
Jones (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Gillingham
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-0 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither side have a ton of creativity or imagination, but Forest Green have a lot less quality in the attacking third, and we believe Newport will eventually wear them down and win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
47.62% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 25.29% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)72.3% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)21.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.62%
    Forest Green Rovers 27.09%
    Draw 25.28%
Newport CountyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.09%

How you voted: Newport vs Forest Green

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
0-3
Newport

Taylor (67'), Robertson (74'), Deeney (90+1'), Robertson (90+1')
Robertson (90+1')
Evans (1', 25'), Lewis (88' pen.)
Sep 20, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Newport
1-2
Forest Green
Evans (90+2')
Stevenson (69'), Fiabema (79')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Newport
1-1
Forest Green
Azaz (3')
Lewis (32'), Bennett (38'), Cooper (46'), Clarke (69'), Street (84')
Clarke (84')
Aitchison (55')
Matt (38')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Forest Green
2-0
Newport
Stevens (33', 61')

Pask (39'), Cain (64'), Street (68')
May 23, 2021 6.30pm
Forest Green
4-3
Newport
Adams (7'), Collins (8'), Cadden (53'), Matt (87')
Collins (41')
Ellison (70'), Labadie (76'), Maynard (119')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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