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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
46.39% ( -3.84) | 24.35% ( 0.22) | 29.26% ( 3.62) |
Both teams to score 57.42% ( 2.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( 1.54) | 44.97% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.68% ( 1.47) | 67.32% ( -1.46) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0.95) | 19.51% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( -1.58) | 51.39% ( 1.58) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.34% ( 3.51) | 28.67% ( -3.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.52% ( 4.18) | 64.48% ( -4.18) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.91) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -1) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.67) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.53) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.37) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |