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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Forest Green Rovers

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Kemp (56', 81')
Hutton (71'), Minturn (90+7'), Young (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (74')
Dabo (15'), Deeney (16'), Jenks (21'), Robson (43'), Bendle (80'), Inniss (87')
Deeney (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither side have been particularly sharp over 90 minutes this month, but we believe the visitors will make life difficult for a Swindon side that seem to be their own worst enemies and where frustration appears to be growing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
47.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 24.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)50.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.97% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)64.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.65%
    Draw 24.2%
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-2
Swindon
Stevens (14')
Omotoye (13'), Bunker (42'), Kadji (70'), Bernard (72'), Daniels (88')
Bunker (61')
Kemp (47'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Kinsella (26'), Blake-Tracy (45+4'), Godwin-Malife (85')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
2-1
Forest Green
Barry (15'), Payne (40')
Iandolo (36'), Williams (53'), McKirdy (85'), Payne (90+3')
Iandolo (53')
March (69')
Godwin-Malife (13'), Adams (59'), March (63'), Young (82')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Forest Green
0-2
Swindon

Sweeney (45+1'), Matt (45+2')
McKirdy (54'), Simpson (81')
McKirdy (66')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Forest Green
0-1
Swindon

Covil (49')
Broadbent (90+3')
Curran (38')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
0-2
Forest Green

Doughty (22'), Grant (36')
Stevens (5'), Adams (50')
Dawson (30'), McGinley (73'), (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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