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Championship header 2

League Two
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Harrogate Town

Hartlepool
3 - 3
Harrogate

Umerah (45'), Sylla (46'), Shelton (63')
Umerah (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pattison (4'), Folarin (49'), Thomson (73')
Ramsay (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Mansfield
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Harrogate
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 0-0 Harrogate Town

 This might not be a classic, with both managers likely to be wary of losing rather than actively going in search of all the points. Hartlepool have been poor at home this season, but Harrogate have also struggled away, so we have had to settle on a goalless draw on New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
36.61% (0.00099999999999767 0) 26.71%36.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36%63.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.58%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 36.61%
    Harrogate Town 36.67%
    Draw 26.7%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.34%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Harrogate

Hartlepool United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Harrogate Town
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Hartlepool
3-1
Harrogate
Cooke (41'), Umerah (45+4' pen., 71')
Missilou (19')
Coley (73')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
2-1
Hartlepool
Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
Umerah (85')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Harrogate
Ndjoli (17', 33')

Burrell (14')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
1-2
Hartlepool
Armstrong (21')
Molyneux (25'), Ferguson (62')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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