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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
36.61% ( 0) | 26.71% | 36.67% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.84% ( -0) | 53.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.27% ( -0) | 74.73% ( -0) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( 0) | 27.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.36% | 63.63% ( -0) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( -0) | 27.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% ( -0) | 63.58% |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |