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Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Colchester United

Harrogate
1 - 3
Colchester

Armstrong (77')
Ramsay (7'), Thomson (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akinde (12'), Chilvers (17'), Tchamadeu (54')
Chambers (45+5'), Chilvers (50'), Smith (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Colchester United

With the two sides only separated by three points, we think that Saturday's game will be a close-fought contest, which could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawColchester United
40.7% (0.801 0.8) 27.96% (0.17 0.17) 31.34% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.835 -0.84)58.71% (0.841 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.655 -0.66)79.24% (0.66 0.66)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.051999999999992 0.05)28.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.061999999999998 0.06)64.02% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-1.126 -1.13)34.25% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (-1.227 -1.23)70.95% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 40.7%
    Colchester United 31.33%
    Draw 27.96%
Harrogate TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 12.23% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.33%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Colchester

Harrogate Town
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Colchester United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Harrogate
3-0
Colchester
Beck (1'), Smith (45+1'), McPake (56')
Falkingham (78'), Martin (82')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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