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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
45.1% | 26.79% | 28.12% |
Both teams to score 48.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.37% | 55.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.21% | 76.79% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% | 24.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% | 59.07% |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% | 35.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% | 71.81% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |