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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town has a probability of 28.9% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
46.38% ( 0.18) | 24.72% ( 0.29) | 28.9% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 55.94% ( -1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -1.56) | 46.8% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -1.47) | 69.06% ( 1.47) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% ( -0.55) | 20.25% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.41% ( -0.89) | 52.59% ( 0.88) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( -1.13) | 29.85% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.06% ( -1.38) | 65.93% ( 1.38) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 35 |
2 | Walsall | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
3 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
6 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 28 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
9 | Chesterfield | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Salford City | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 22 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 18 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
22 | Morecambe | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 14 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Swindon TownSwindon | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 13 |
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