MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:22:37| >> :600:360916:360916:
Accrington Stanley
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Walton (17', 90+1')
Conneely (117')
FT
(aet)
Hall (45+2'), Cotterill (70')
Kilkenny (25')
Butterworth (41')
Accrington win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Accrington
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Swindon Town

Accrington have a habit of scoring goals against the visitors, a trend we expect to continue in the cup this weekend. There are a lot of issues both on and off the pitch at Swindon at the moment, so we think Accrington will edge a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%).

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
28.98% (0.148 0.15) 24.08% (0.012 0.01) 46.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (0.034999999999997 0.03)43.94% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (0.035999999999994 0.04)66.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.121 0.12)28.34% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.153 0.15)64.07% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)50.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.98%
    Swindon Town 46.94%
    Draw 24.08%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 46.94%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley
78.6%
Swindon Town
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Accrington
2-2
Swindon
Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
rhs 2.0
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